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Astros Vs Royals: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 7/5/2022

MJ Melendez leads the Kansas City Royals (29-49) into a contest with the Houston Astros (52-27) following his two-homer outing in a 7-6 loss to the Astros. It begins at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday. Houston’s (-238 to win) Luis Garcia starts against Kansas City’s (+199) Zack Greinke.

The betting insights in this article use the latest odds as of July 4, 2022 at 9:24 PM ET.

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Astros vs Royals Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Garcia (HOU) Pitcher Greinke (KC)
6 – 5 W/L 2 – 4
76.1 IP 63.2
3.42 ERA 4.38
1.048 WHIP 1.225
9.4 K/9 4.5
2.5 BB/9 1.6

Astros Probable Starter Luis Garcia

  • Garcia makes the start for the Astros, his 15th of the season. He is 6-5 with a 3.42 ERA and 80 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Thursday, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • In 14 games this season, the 25-year-old has a 3.42 ERA and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .205 to opposing batters.
  • Garcia is trying to collect his sixth quality start of the season.
  • He meets a Royals offense that ranks 27th in the league with 302 runs while batting .240 as a squad. It has a collective .375 slugging percentage (27th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 65 home runs (25th in MLB).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 4, 2022 at 9:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Royals Stats vs Garcia

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrew Benintendi 8 .250 2 0 0 .250 .500
Hunter Dozier 8 .125 1 0 0 .125 .250
Whit Merrifield 8 .375 3 0 0 .375 .750
Nicky Lopez 6 .500 3 1 2 .500 1.500
Emmanuel Rivera 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Ryan O’Hearn 5 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Michael A. Taylor 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .600
Bobby Witt Jr. 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
MJ Melendez 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333
Cam Gallagher 1 1.000 1 0 0 1.000 2.000

Royals Probable Starter Zack Greinke

  • Greinke (2-4) will take to the mound for the Royals and make his 13th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • The 38-year-old has pitched in 12 games this season with an ERA of 4.38 and 4.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .264.
  • He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
  • The Astros rank 14th in MLB with 350 runs scored this season. They have a .240 batting average this campaign with 114 home runs (third in the league).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 4, 2022 at 9:24 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Greinke

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
José Altuve 27 .370 10 1 4 .414 1.007
Yuli Gurriel 9 .222 2 0 0 .222 .444
Martín Maldonado 9 .111 1 0 0 .111 .222
Alex Bregman 6 .167 1 0 1 .444 .611
Aledmys Díaz 6 .333 2 0 0 .429 .762
Mauricio Dubón 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros have compiled a 45-19 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 70.3% of those games).
  • When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -238 or shorter, Houston has a record of 3-2 (60%).
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Astros’ implied win probability is 70.4%.
  • Houston has had an over/under set by bookmakers 79 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 27 of those games (27-49-3).
  • The Astros have collected a 42-37-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.2% of the time).

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Royals Betting Trends

  • The Royals have won 24, or 36.9%, of the 65 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Kansas City has not won as an underdog of +199 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 33.4% chance of a victory for the Royals.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 78 games with a total this season.
  • The Royals are 35-43-0 against the spread in their 78 chances this season.

Astros Players to Watch

  • Yordan Alvarez has totaled 77 hits with a .410 on-base percentage and a .653 slugging percentage, all club-highs for the Astros. He is batting .310 with nine doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 40 walks.
  • Among qualified batters in baseball, Alvarez ranks 14th in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
  • Kyle Tucker has 12 doubles, 16 home runs and 38 walks while batting .259.
  • Among qualified batters, Tucker’s batting average ranks 69th, his on-base percentage ranks 40th, and he is 28th in the league in slugging.
  • Jose Altuve has 15 doubles, 16 home runs and 28 walks while batting .278.
  • Alex Bregman is hitting .237 with 16 doubles, nine home runs and 46 walks.

Astros Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Alex Bregman 266 .237 41 9 40 .357 .755
Yuli Gurriel 266 .226 27 7 23 .279 .670
Kyle Tucker 259 .259 35 16 56 .351 .841
Jose Altuve 248 .278 43 16 29 .363 .895
Yordan Alvarez 248 .310 51 24 57 .410 1.063
Jeremy Pena 223 .278 35 11 30 .329 .804
Martín Maldonado 179 .151 20 7 18 .219 .521
Chas McCormick 168 .232 20 8 19 .309 .738
Aledmys Díaz 142 .211 12 3 14 .263 .552
Mauricio Dubon 107 .224 15 3 16 .259 .605

Royals Players to Watch

  • Whit Merrifield is batting .234 with three home runs and 33 RBI for Kansas City this season.
  • Among all qualified hitters in the big leagues, Merrifield’s batting average ranks 111th, his on-base percentage ranks 135th, and he is 146th in slugging.
  • Andrew Benintendi leads the Royals with an OPS of .780. He has a slash line of .314/.380/.400 this season.
  • Among all qualifying players, Benintendi ranks 12th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage and 96th in slugging percentage.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. leads Kansas City in total hits (68) this season, and 32 of those have gone for extra bases.
  • Hunter Dozier leads Kansas City with 67 hits, batting .263 this season with 26 extra-base hits.

Royals Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Whit Merrifield 316 .234 41 3 33 .289 .609
Bobby Witt Jr. 292 .233 42 11 39 .284 .719
Andrew Benintendi 290 .314 30 3 31 .380 .780
Hunter Dozier 255 .263 33 8 27 .326 .761
Nicky Lopez 228 .228 24 0 7 .290 .566
Michael A. Taylor 190 .274 25 5 22 .349 .749
MJ Melendez 179 .223 18 8 20 .314 .727
Emmanuel Rivera 145 .207 17 5 18 .258 .644
Kyle Isbel 108 .222 10 2 10 .248 .581
Edward Olivares 63 .286 10 3 8 .328 .820

Astros vs Royals Player Props

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