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SNP on course for worst Scottish election result since coming to power

Nicola Sturgeon could be on course to return the SNP’s worst result at a Scottish election since it first came to power in 2007, a new opinion poll shows.

The survey suggests the SNP would still be the biggest party in the Holyrood chamber, however they would be short of achieving a majority.

According to the Savanta ComRes poll for The Scotsman, the SNP would return 59 MSPs which is six seats short of having a majority in the parliament.

A total of 1,001 Scottish adults aged 16 or over were asked between April 30 and May 4 for the poll.

When the SNP swept to power in 2007, Alex Salmond secured 47 seats while in 2011 he managed to secure a majority with 69 seats.

At the last election in 2016, Nicola Sturgeon failed to secure a majority by just two seats when the SNP returned 63 MSPs to Holyrood.

Douglas Ross and his Scottish Conservatives would be the second biggest party in the parliament with 29 seats, which is two fewer than they had after the 2016 vote.

Scottish Labour would be three MSPs behind the Tories on 26 seats, which would be two more than in 2016.

With Scottish Greens seats there would be a majority for independence in the parliament with Patrick Harvie and Lorna Slater’s party returning 10 MSPs.

Willie Rennie and the Lib Dems are on course, according to the poll, to return five seats.

The polls shows the SNP would pick up 42 per cent of the constituency votes across the country, while the Tories would get 25 per cent and Labour 22 per cent.

The Lib Dems would secure eight per cent of the national vote.

On the regional list vote the SNP would get 34 per cent, the Tories 22 per cent, Labour 19 per cent, the Greens nine per cent, Lib Dems six per cent and Alba two per cent.

If the polling is correct then Alex Salmond’s new Alba Party would not return a single seat across the country.



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